Final U.S. Citrus Forecast Has Several Changes

Tacy CalliesCrop Forecast

U.S. citrus forecast

The final U.S. citrus forecast of the 2021–22 season, released July 12, projected production changes for crops in Florida, California, Texas and Arizona compared to the June forecast.

Florida’s all-orange forecast rose 1%, to 40.95 million boxes, due to a slight increase in non-Valencia orange production and a 1% increase in expected Valencia orange production.

The Florida grapefruit production forecast climbed 1% to 3.3 million boxes due to a slight increase in red grapefruit production; white grapefruit production was unchanged.

Florida’s tangerine and tangelo forecast was unchanged at 750,000 boxes.

Listen to the Florida citrus forecast:

Final Florida citrus forecast

California’s all-orange forecast dropped by 2.3 million boxes to 49 million boxes. The state’s non-Valencia forecast dropped 3 million boxes; its Valencia forecast climbed by 700,000 boxes.

Projected grapefruit production in California dropped slightly to 4 million boxes from 4.1 million boxes.

Tangerine/tangelo production in California dropped by 1 million boxes to 20 million boxes.

The California lemon forecast was unchanged at 23 million boxes.

Texas’ all-orange production forecast tumbled by 150,000 boxes to 200,000 boxes. The state’s non-Valencia and Valencia forecasts both fell from June.

Expected grapefruit production in Texas dropped by 300,000 boxes to 1.7 million boxes.

Arizona’s lemon forecast slipped to 1.3 million boxes, down from 1.5 million boxes in June.

See the full citrus crop forecast report from the U.S. Department of Agriculture here.

The first forecast of the 2022–23 season will be released at 12 p.m. Eastern Time on Oct. 12, 2022. Hear the live forecast at

Thank you to the 2021–22 citrus crop forecast sponsors: Aerobotics, Farm Credit and OrangeRX.

Source: U.S. Department of Agriculture National Agricultural Statistics Service