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Global Orange and OJ Production to Increase

Daniel CooperCrop Forecast, International

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Global orange and orange juice production are both forecast to increase slightly in 2023–24 from the previous year, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service (USDA FAS).

ORANGES

Global orange production for 2023–24 is forecast up slightly to 48.8 million tons compared to the prior year. Here’s the country-by-country forecast from USDA FAS:

U.S. production is forecast up 280,000 tons to 2.5 million tons. Production in Florida is expected to increase by 30%. California production is forecast to increase 6%. Fruit for processing and exports are both up with the increase in supplies.

Brazil production is forecast down 173,000 tons to 16.5 million tons. Fruit for processing is forecast to be lower with the reduced available supplies.

China production is projected up slightly to a record 7.6 million tons. Imports and exports are forecast to be flat.

European Union production is expected to decline by 89,000 tons to 5.5 million tons. Fruit for processing is down, and exports are flat.

Mexico production is forecast up marginally at 4.9 million tons. Fruit for processing is down.

South Africa production is forecast flat at 1.6 million tons. Exports are forecast to be at a record high for the fourth year in a row.

Turkey production is estimated to rise by nearly one-third to 1.7 million tons. Exports are up with the higher production.

Morocco production is forecast to rise 37,000 tons to 820,000 tons. Fruit for processing and exports are projected higher.

Australia production is forecast up 5% to 530,000 tons. Imports are unchanged while exports are up.

Chile production is estimated down 2% to 175,000 tons. Exports are forecast to be down. The United States is expected to remain the top export market.

ORANGE JUICE

Global orange juice production for 2023–24 is forecast up slightly to 1.5 million tons. Higher production in the United States and Mexico is expected to offset lower production in Brazil. Here’s the USDA FAS country-by-country forecast:

Brazil production is forecast down 2% to 1.1 million tons. Exports are down. Brazil is by far the largest producer and is projected to account for three-quarters of global orange juice exports.

Mexico production is projected to increase 11% to 155,000 tons. Exports are up. The United States is expected to remain the top export market.

U.S. production is forecast to rebound nearly 30% to 110,000 tons due to a rise in oranges available for processing, especially in Florida. Imports are down.

European Union production is expected to be flat at 47,000 tons. Imports and exports are both forecast to be down.

See the full USDA FAS report on world citrus here.

Source: USDA FAS

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