The California Department of Food and Agriculture (CDFA), cooperating with the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s National Agricultural Statistics Service, has issued initial 2024–25 forecasts for California’s navel orange crop and for part of the mandarin crop.
NAVEL ORANGES
The initial 2024-25 California navel orange forecast is 78 million cartons, up 2% from the previous year. The forecast is based on a survey conducted from June 8 to Aug. 25.
This forecast includes production of conventional, organic and specialty navel oranges (including Cara Cara and blood orange varieties).
Survey data indicated a fruit set per tree of 414, up 24% from the previous year. The average Sept. 1 diameter was 2.06 inches, down 5% from last year. Bearing acreage is estimated at 110,000, which results in a forecasted yield of 709 cartons per acre.
Cara Cara production is forecast at 9 million cartons. Survey data indicated a fruit set per tree of 301, up 10% from the previous year and 15% above the five-year average of 262. The average diameter on Sept. 1 was 2.14 inches, 2% below the previous year and 2% below the five-year average of 2.18 inches.
TANGO AND W. MURCOTT AFOURER MANDARINS
The 2024-25 California forecast for the Tango and W. Murcott Afourer mandarin varieties is 29 million 40-pound cartons. The forecast is based on a survey conducted from July 1 to Sept. 1.
Survey data indicated a fruit set per tree of 666, up 12% from the previous year. The average Sept. 1 diameter was 1.3 inches, up 8% from last year for these varieties. Bearing acreage is estimated at 33,000, which results in a yield of 879 40-pound cartons per acre.
See the final production forecast for California and all other citrus-producing states for the past season (2023–24) here.
Source: CDFA
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