The World Citrus Organisation (WCO) has projected Northern Hemisphere citrus production of 27.297 million tons (MT) in the 2024–25 season. That’s an 8.73% decrease from the previous season. The forecast is 5.88% lower than the average for the last four seasons. The forecast is based on data from Egypt, Greece, Israel, Italy, Morocco, Spain, Tunisia, Türkiye the United States, and, for the first time, Portugal.
Total citrus exports are expected to follow a similar trend at 8.37 MT, down 8.94% from last season and 9.78% below the last four seasons’ average.
Philippe Binard, WCO secretary general, said the decrease “is mainly driven by Türkiye returning to regular production levels after last season’s record figures as well as Egypt’s expected decrease.”
“The market will still be impacted by geopolitical instability while consumer demand is under pressure due to limitation of purchasing power and inflation,” Binard added.
The WCO projected 2024–25 production by countries in the Northern Hemisphere as follows:
- Spain’s citrus production at 6.18 MT is down by 3.3% from the previous seasons, led by a 21.01% decrease in lemons from last year’s record season.
- Italy is down by 12.32% at 2.77 MT, with a 17.51% decline in oranges.
- Greece remains stable at 1.09 MT.
- Türkiye is projected to decrease its production by 17.57% with 4.95 MT after last season’s record figures.
- Egypt at 4.35 MT is down by 19.55%.
- Morocco’s production is expected to grow to 2.14 MT, up 11.97%.
- Israel’s production is projected to recover to 0.56 MT, up 18.5%.
- Portugal, which contributed to the forecast for the first time, estimates a 3.37% decrease in the upcoming season at 0.38 MT.
- Production in the United States is expected to shrink to 4.55 MT, down 4.28%.
The WCO is a global platform for dialogue and action that brings together citrus-producing countries.
Source: WCO
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