The U.S. Department of Agriculture National Agricultural Statistics Services (USDA/NASS) released a citrus forecast on Jan. 10.
FLORIDA
Florida orange and grapefruit production expectations were unchanged from the December citrus forecast. The Florida orange forecast remains at 12 million boxes and grapefruit at 1.2 million boxes.
Florida non-Valencia orange final fruit size is smaller than the average, requiring 327 pieces to fill a 90-pound box. Final droppage of non-Valencia oranges (excluding Navels) at 56% is above the maximum.
Florida Valencia orange current fruit size is average and is projected to be average at harvest. Current droppage is above the maximum and projected to be above the maximum at harvest.
Fruit size of Florida red grapefruit at harvest is projected to be above the maximum, and droppage is projected to be above the maximum. Projected fruit size of Florida white grapefruit at harvest is above average. White grapefruit droppage is projected to be above the maximum.
The Florida tangerine and mandarin forecast was cut by 14%. The forecast fell from 350,000 boxes in December to 300,000 boxes in January.
The Florida lemon forecast increased from 500,000 boxes to 600,000 boxes.
If the January forecast is realized, Florida’s orange, grapefruit and tangerine/mandarin production will each be 33% less than the prior season’s final production.
OTHER STATES
California’s all-orange forecast was reduced from 47.7 million boxes in December to 47.4 million boxes. The California grapefruit forecast was reduced from 4.2 million boxes to 3.7 million boxes. The state’s lemon and tangerine/mandarin forecast were unchanged.
Texas’ all-orange forecast increased from 850,000 boxes in December to 900,000 boxes. The Texas grapefruit forecast jumped from 1.9 million boxes to 2.5 million boxes.
See the full January citrus forecast report from USDA NASS here. The next citrus forecast will be issued on Feb. 11.
Source: USDA NASS
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