Global production of lemons and limes in 2024–25 is forecast to be down 651,000 tons, to 10.2 million tons, by the U.S. Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service (USDA/FAS). The decline is due to a drop in production in the European Union (EU) and Türkiye as a result of unfavorable weather and yields.
Exports are forecast to rise with high production and record South Africa exports expected.
Mexico production is forecast 8% higher to 3.5 million tons due to favorable weather during the bloom and fruit set. Exports are raised with the increased supplies. The United States is expected to continue to be the top market with more than 90% of the exports.
Türkiye production is forecast to drop more than 30% to 1.6 million tons due to unfavorable hot weather during the bloom resulting in lower yields. Exports are forecast to go down with the decrease in available supplies. The European Union (EU) is expected to continue to account for more than one-third of the exports.
EU production is forecast down 14% to 1.5 million tons, driven by lower yields in Spain. Exports are flat while imports are up.
Argentina production is expected to decline by 70,000 tons, to 1.4 million tons. This is due to unfavorable rainfall during the bloom, which is expected to affect the fruit quality. Exports are forecast to be 165,000 tons. The United States has been the top destination for exports after Argentina regained access to the U.S. market in 2017–18.
U.S. production is forecast up 8% to 1 million tons on higher yields in California due to favorable weather. With increased production, fruit for processing and exports are projected up. Imports are expected to be up to meet domestic demand.
South Africa production is forecast up 7% to 780,000 tons due to favorable weather. Record exports are expected with the increase in available supplies.
Chile production is forecast to rise 3% to 197,000 tons on favorable weather and higher area harvested. Exports are forecast to rise with the higher available supplies. The United States is expected to remain the top export market.
See the complete USDA FAS report on global citrus markets and trade here.
Source: USDA FAS
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