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Global Orange and OJ Production Forecast

Daniel CooperCrop Forecast, International

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Global orange production is forecast to decline in 2024–25 by the U.S. Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service (USDA/FAS), but orange juice (OJ) production is expected to increase.

ORANGES

Production of global oranges is forecast down 662,000 tons to 45.2 million tons. Higher production in Brazil is expected to be more than offset by lower crops in Egypt, Türkiye and the United States.

Brazil production is forecast up 700,000 tons to 13 million tons.

China production is projected virtually unchanged at 7.6 million tons.

European Union production is forecast down 70,000 tons to 5.7 million tons. Exports and imports are expected to be up.

Mexico production is forecast up 108,000 tons, to 5.1 million tons. Exports are expected to be flat.

Egypt production is forecast down 12% to 3.7 million tons. Exports are down.

United States production is forecast down 10% to 2.2 million tons — the lowest level in 88 years. Exports are flat while imports are up.

South Africa production is forecast up 1% to 1.7 million tons. Exports are down.

Türkiye production is forecast to drop by nearly one-third to 1.6 million tons. Exports are flat.

Morocco production is forecast to rise 17,000 tons to 960,000 tons. Exports are projected to be higher.

Australia production is forecast up 25,000 tons to 545,000 tons. Exports are up.

ORANGE JUICE

Global OJ production for 2024–25 is forecast up 4% to 1.4 million tons of 65 degreesBrix concentrate. Higher production in Brazil and Mexico is expected to offset lower production in the United States.

Brazil production is forecast up 9% to 1 million tons. Exports are up. Brazil is by far the largest OJ producer and is projected to account for three-quarters of global OJ exports.

Mexico production is projected to increase 4% to 187,000 tons. Exports are up, with the United States expected to remain the top export market.

United States production is forecast down 28% to a record low 80,000 tons. Imports are up slightly.

South Africa production is forecast to increase 4% to 57,100 tons. Exports are up.

European Union production is forecast to be down 7% to 50,000 tons. Exports are down.

See the full USDA FAS report on world citrus for 2024–25 here.

Source: USDA FAS

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