A recent U.S. Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service (USDA/FAS) report — Citrus: World Markets and Trade — included global fresh orange and orange juice projections for 2025–26.
FRESH ORANGE
Global fresh orange production is projected up slightly to 45.9 million tons on larger crops in Brazil and Egypt, more than offsetting decreased production in Turkey, the European Union and Mexico.
Brazil production is forecast up 500,000 tons to 13.5 million tons on an expected return to normal weather conditions and improved practices to manage citrus greening, but production remains below the five-year average.
Egypt production is projected up 500,000 tons to 4 million tons on favorable weather conditions and increased area harvested as new orchards reach maturity.
U.S. production is forecast roughly unchanged at 2.2 million tons with California, Florida and Texas all expected to maintain steady production volumes year over year.
Global fresh orange consumption is forecast down slightly to 28.5 million tons despite the projected increase in global production. Oranges delivered to processors are forecast up 3% to 17.1 million tons as the increase in global fresh orange production is concentrated in Brazil and Egypt, two of the top three orange-processing countries.
Global fresh orange exports are forecast up 2% to 4.9 million tons as increased exports from Egypt and South Africa more than offset lower Türkiye exports. South Africa exports are forecast up 28,000 tons to 1.5 million tons, a record high for the second consecutive year.
European Union imports are forecast up 40,000 tons to 1 million tons as imports will be needed to supplement lower domestic production. U.S. imports and exports are both forecast up slightly to 275,000 tons and 330,000 tons, respectively.
ORANGE JUICE
World orange juice production is forecast up less than 1% to 1.4 million tons on higher Brazil production. Brazil production is forecast up slightly to 1 million tons as more oranges are delivered to processors and the industry increases efficiency.
Global orange juice consumption is forecast up 4% to 1.2 million tons on increased U.S. consumption.
Global orange juice exports are forecast up 35,000 tons to 1.3 million tons on higher Brazil and South Africa exports.
Global orange juice imports are forecast up with increases projected in the top five importing countries because of Brazil’s rebound in exportable supplies. The largest import growth is projected for China with an increase of 15,000 tons to 64,000 tons, although it remains below the five-year average.
Source: USDA FAS
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