The U.S. Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service (USDA FAS) has forecast year-over-year production increases for Australian oranges, orange juice and mandarins in 2025–26.
ORANGES
Orange production in Australia is projected to reach 590,000 metric tons (MT) in 2025–26, up from 580,000 MT the prior year. Of the total forecast, 365,000 MT is expected to come from navel varieties and 225,000 MT from Valencia varieties. If realized, this would mark the highest output in more than two decades and the sixth straight year of growth.
Riverina, Murray Valley and Riverland are the primary Australian orange areas, accounting for 18,318 hectares (91% of the national total).
Fresh orange exports are forecast to reach 200,000 MT in 2025–26, matching the export record set the prior year.
Orange imports are forecast to remain unchanged at 10,000 MT.
ORANGE JUICE
Australia’s orange juice production is expected to increase by 10% to 17,300 MT in 2025–26.
Orange juice exports are projected to rise modestly to 4,300 MT in 2025–26, from 3,800 MT the prior year.
Orange juice imports are forecast at 9,500 MT in 2025–26, an increase of 500 MT from the prior year.
MANDARINS
Mandarin output is forecast to reach a sixth consecutive production record of 270,000 MT in 2025–26, a 6% increase from the previous year.
Queensland is the dominant producing state, with 4,832 hectares, representing 50% of national plantings.
Mandarin exports in 2025–26 are forecast to increase by 10% from the prior year to a new record of 133,000 MT.
Mandarin and tangerine imports are forecast at 1,000 MT for 2025–26. Historically, imports averaged about 4,000 MT annually, but volumes declined sharply to 1,000 MT in 2022–23 and have shown no signs of recovery.
See the full USDA FAS report on Australian citrus here.
Source: USDA FAS
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