Non-Valencia Oranges Cut to 35.0 Million Boxes

Mark Hudson, USDA/NASS, Washington D.C. offered the February citrus crop forecast. The forecast of non-Valencia production is lowered 1.00 million boxes to 35.0 million boxes. Size and Drop components were final last month. The Row Count survey conducted January 26-27, 2017, showed 72 percent of the early-mid-season rows, and 83 percent of the Navel rows are harvested. Estimated utilization to February 1, with an allocation for non-certified fruit, is 25.9 million boxes. The Navel forecast, included in the non-Valencia portion of the forecast, remains at 900,000 boxes.

All Oranges 70.0 Million Boxes

The 2016-2017 Florida all orange forecast released today by the USDA Agricultural Statistics Board is lowered 1.00 million boxes to 70.0 million boxes. If realized, this will be 14 percent less than last season’s final production. The total includes 35.0 million boxes of the non-Valencia oranges (early, mid-season, and Navel varieties) and 35.0 million boxes of Valencia oranges. For the previous 10 seasons used in the regressions, the February all orange forecast has deviated from final production by an average of 6 percent, with 4 seasons above and 6 below, and differences ranging from 15 percent below to 10 percent above.

Florida Citrus Crop Forecast

Complete Citrus Crop Forecast including California. Arizona and Texas.

February USDA/NASS Citrus Maturity Test Results and Fruit Size form. (.pdf)

The March USDA citrus crop forecast is scheduled to be delivered on Thursday, March 9, 2017. You can listen to the forecast here on Citrus Industry Magazine website.

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