Orange Crop Outlook for Brazil

Josh McGillBrazil, Crop Forecast

The total Brazilian orange crop for marketing year 2022–23 is forecast at 405 million boxes (MB), a reduction of 10 MB compared to the previous season.

orange crop

The commercial area in the state of São Paulo and the western part of Minas Gerais should account for 305 MB, a drop of 3% from the prior year.  Production from other states is projected at 100 MB, similar to the prior year. The forecast was issued by the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Foreign Agricultural Service (USDA FAS).

Favorable weather conditions triggered a good first blossoming in August with excellent fruit setting in irrigated and non-irrigated citrus groves, mainly in the southern part of the citrus belt in São Paulo, USDA FAS reported.

A broader and excellent second blossoming occurred in October in most of the citrus belt. However, weather conditions (warm temperatures) were not adequate to sustain a robust fruit setting, damaging the production potential from the second blossoming.

The yield for the 2022–23 orange crop in Brazil is projected at 1.78 boxes per tree, a drop of 2% from the prior season. 

The area planted with oranges is projected at 614,100 hectares.

According to the Brazilian citrus research association Fundecitrus, 24.42% of the trees in the commercial area of São Paulo and the western part of Minas Gerais are affected by greening. This figure shows an increase of 9% in the greening infection relative to the 2021 greening survey.

However, if the number of citrus trees eradicated in 2021 due to greening was included in the survey, greening infection would rise to 27.5%.

Total fresh orange exports for 2022–23 are projected at virtually zero, similar to fresh orange export estimates for 2021–22.

Total fresh orange imports for 2022–23 are projected to be stable at 0.2 MB. Egypt, Uruguay and Spain were the major
countries of origin for imported oranges in 2021–2022.

See the full USDA FAS report on Brazilian citrus here.

Source: USDA FAS

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