Greater Worldwide Production of Tangerines/Mandarins

Daniel CooperCrop Forecast, International, Mandarins


Global production of tangerines/mandarins for 2023–24 is forecast to rise 3% over the prior year to 38 million tons, the U.S. Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service (USDA FAS) reported. The increase is mainly due to favorable weather in China and Turkey.

Here’s the region-by-region forecast for tangerines/mandarins:

China production is forecast 400,000 tons higher to 26.9 million tons due to favorable weather and a larger crop in the Hunan, Hubei, Guangxi and Jiangxi provinces. Exports are expected to be higher. Indonesia, the Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam are expected to remain the top export markets.

European Union production is forecast to be down 5% to 2.7 million tons. Higher production in Greece is not enough to offset lower production in Spain. Exports are forecast to be lower, and imports are projected to be flat.

Turkey production is forecast to rebound 42% to 2.6 million tons. This is due to higher area and favorable weather leading to good bloom, following a freeze the year before. Exports are projected to jump with the higher available supplies.

Morocco production is forecast up 2% to 950,000 tons. This is largely due to intensified irrigation efforts aimed at mitigating the negative impacts of heatwaves. Exports are forecast to be flat.

United States production is forecast down 7% to 822,000 tons due to unfavorable weather and lower yields in California. Exports are forecast to be down while imports are expected to be unchanged.

Peru production is forecast down 1% to 545,000 tons due to expected unfavorable weather associated with El Niño likely impacting production. Fruit for processing is projected to be down with the lower production while exports are unchanged.

Chile production is estimated to rise 19,000 tons to 287,000 tons on greater harvested area. Exports are forecast to be up with the higher available supplies. The United States is expected to remain Chile’s top export market, capturing nearly 95% market share.

See the full USDA FAS report on world citrus here.

Source: USDA FAS

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