According to the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Foreign Agricultural Service (USDA FAS), Brazilian orange and orange juice production are both forecast to decline in 2023–24 compared to the prior year.
ORANGE CROP
The total Brazilian 2023–24 orange crop is forecast at 408 million 40.8-kilogram boxes, equivalent to 16.5 million metric tons (MMT). This is a decrease of 1.03% from the prior year. The reduction is due to citrus greening disease.
The commercial area of the state of São Paulo and the western part of Minas Gerais (known as Triângulo Mineiro) should produce 307 million 40.8-kilogram boxes (12.52 MMT). The projection for that commercial area came from Fundecitrus in December 2023; learn more here.
Around 30% of Brazil’s orange production is destined for the fresh market, and 70% is used for juice processing.
Brazilian orange acreage is forecast at 590,000 hectares for 2023–24, down 10,000 hectares from the prior year.
Brazil has a total of 5,134 orange grove properties, most of them large producers with high productivity.
In the long term, the trend of the orange industry expanding outside the São Paulo and Minas Gerais area is likely to continue. In the state of Bahia, for example, greening disease does not exist due to the climate and the distance from the main region of the citrus belt.
Total fresh orange exports for 2023–24 are projected at virtually zero, just like the previous season. Total fresh orange imports for 2023–24 are forecast at 30,000 metric tons (MT), an increase of 3,000 MT from the prior year. Egypt, Uruguay, Spain and Argentina were the major countries of origin for imported oranges from July 2022 to June 2023.
JUICE PRODUCTION
Brazilian frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) production for 2023–24 is forecast at 1.05 MMT, a decrease of 1.6% from the prior season.
Orange juice production is concentrated in the state of São Paulo, followed by Minas Gerais and Paraná.
Brazilian FCOJ exports for 2023–24 are forecast at 1.03 MMT, a decrease of 1.9% from the prior year. Brazil is the world’s leading exporter of orange juice and accounts for nearly 80% of the orange juice marketed in the world. The European Union is Brazil’s largest export market, followed by the United States.
Brazil does not import orange juice.
See the full USDA FAS report on Brazilian citrus here.
Source: USDA FAS
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