Outlook for Brazil’s 2023–24 Orange Crop

Josh McGillBrazil, Crop Forecast

The total Brazilian orange crop for 2023–24 is forecast at 410.6 million 40.8-kilogram boxes, a decrease of 1.1% from last season, the U.S. Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service (USDA FAS) reported recently.

orange crop

The commercial area of the state of São Paulo and the western part of Minas Gerais should produce 309 million boxes, a decrease of 1.55% from last season. This projection is based on Brazil’s first citrus crop forecast of the season, released in May by Fundecitrus.

The yield for the 2023–24 Brazilian orange crop is forecast at around 1.82 boxes per tree.

The average fruit weight is expected to be 165 grams, up from last season’s 159 grams. The increased fruit weight is a result of favorable weather conditions which supported blossoming and fruit setting in the São Paulo citrus belt. It is estimated that it will take 247 fruit to fill a 90-pound box.

Total Brazilian tree inventory for 2023–24 is projected at 269.8 million trees, an increase from the previous season, mainly in the São Paulo citrus belt.

The orange planted area is projected at 617,600 hectares, up 3,500 hectares compared to the previous season, with slight increases in São Paulo and other states.

Total fresh orange exports for 2023–24 are projected at virtually zero, like the previous season. Brazil has limited market access to other countries, and most exports are shipped to European countries. Most exports occur during the harvest of the commercial crop, between June and December.

Total fresh orange imports for 2023–24 are projected to increase slightly to 0.75 million boxes, according to updated information from the Brazilian Secretariat of Foreign Trade. Egypt, Uruguay, Spain and Argentina are the major countries of origin for imported oranges.

See the full USDA FAS report on Brazilian citrus here.

Source: USDA FAS

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