The first USDA citrus crop forecast for the 2024-25 season is scheduled to be released at 12:00 noon Eastern Time/9:00 a.m. Pacific Time on Oct. 11, 2024. You will be able to tune in and hear the numbers as they are given by the U.S. Department of Agriculture National Agricultural Statistics Service.
Click on the player below to hear the initial 2024-25 citrus crop forecast.
Please click on the player above for the internet audio stream that will bring you the live forecast on Oct. 11, 2024. The audio stream on this website will begin before 12 noon Eastern Time/9:00 a.m. Pacific Time.
ATTENTION LISTENERS: Please be aware this LIVE AUDIO CONFERENCE is sometimes a few moments late to start, and there is no background music in preview. So when you tune in at the scheduled time, please be patient as the conference call will be silent until USDA officials join the line to release the crop update.
ABOUT THE CITRUS CROP FORECAST
The Florida Department of Agriculture and Consumer Services’ Florida Agricultural Statistics Service describes the basics for creating a citrus crop forecast:
“The four basic parameters used in the forecast are number of bearing trees, number of fruit per tree, fruit size and fruit loss from droppage. The first two of these parameters have the greatest influence on the forecast.
“The general model incorporates the estimated total fruit (bearing trees times average fruit per tree), divided by the number of fruit projected to make a standard box at harvest (using the fruit size survey), reduced for droppage (the fraction of fruit counted at survey time, but lost to droppage before it was harvested). We have different surveys to collect the data.
“The sample design stratifies that state’s citrus belt into five nearly homogenous areas, and the bearing trees into five age groups. Sample groves for surveying are selected from the citrus tree inventory using probability sampling procedures. Regressions based upon the indicators and actual production from previous seasons are used to make projections based upon current conditions.”
Previous Forecasts
July 2024: Final Florida Citrus Forecast for 2023–24
June 2024: Florida Citrus Forecasts Changed
May 2024: Florida Citrus Crop Reduced
April 2024: April Citrus Forecast: Florida Down, Other States Up
March 2024: Citrus Crop Forecast Has Changes
February 2024: Citrus Crop Forecast Has One Change
January 2024: Changes to U.S. Citrus Forecast
December 2023: Improvements to Florida Citrus Forecast
October 2023: Optimistic First Forecast for Florida Citrus
July 2023: Final U.S. Citrus Forecast Has Several Changes
June 2023: Florida Citrus Forecast Sees Small Changes
May 2023: Adjustments to the Florida Citrus Crop Forecast
April 2023: Changes to U.S. Citrus Crop Forecast
March 2023: Florida Forecast Sees Small Gains
February 2023: Florida Orange Forecast Continues to Fall
January 2023: Florida Citrus Forecast Falls Further
December 2022: Florida Citrus Forecast Plummets
October 2022: Low Citrus Crop Forecast for Florida Will Get Lower
July 2022: Final U.S. Citrus Forecast Has Several Changes
June 2022: Florida Citrus June Forecast Mixed
May 2022: Surprising Change in Florida Orange Forecast
April 2022: April Citrus Forecast: Florida Down, California Up
March 2022: Further Cuts to Florida Citrus Forecast
February 2022: Florida Orange Forecast Falls Again
January 2022: Florida Citrus Forecast Drops Again
December 2021: Ups and Downs in Florida Citrus Forecast
October 2021: Historic Low for U.S. Citrus Crop Forecast
July 2021: Final U.S. Citrus Crop Forecast Sees Changes
June 2021: More Changes to Florida Citrus Crop Forecast
May 2021: Citrus Crop Forecast Has Small Changes
April 2021: U.S. Citrus Crop Forecast Takes a Tumble
March 2021: Changes to U.S. Orange Crop Forecast
February 2021: Florida Citrus Forecast for February Sees Some Changes
January 2021: States See Changes in U.S. Citrus Forecast
December 2020: Florida Orange, Grapefruit Forecast Trimmed
October 2020: Forecast for Florida Citrus Is Low
June 2020: Citrus Forecast Sees Florida Oranges Fall
May 2020: Florida Citrus Crop Forecast Numbers Fall
April 2020: Florida Sees Dips in Orange and Grapefruit Forecasts
March 2020: March Citrus Crop Forecast Sees Slight Decreases
February 2020: Florida Citrus Forecast: Grapefruit Up, Oranges Down
January 2020: Florida Grapefruit Production Up
December 2019: December Florida Citrus Crop Forecast
October 2019: First Citrus Crop Forecast of the Season
July 2019: Orange Production Up Slightly From June Forecast
June 2019: Florida Citrus Production Continues Downward Trend
May 2019: May Florida Citrus Forecast Sees Some Changes
April 2019: Some Declines in April’s Florida Citrus Forecast
March 2019: Florida Citrus Forecast: Oranges Steady; Other Crops Down
February 2019: Grapefruit, Tangerines and Tangelos See Small Changes in Crop Forecast
December 2018: December Citrus Crop Forecast Unchanged
November 2018: Decline in Florida Citrus Forecast Figures
October 2018: Florida Citrus Crop Forecast Is Good News for Growers
July 2018: Final Citrus Forecast of the 2017-18 Season
June 2018: Florida Citrus Forecast: Grapefruit Down Slightly
May 2018: Florida Citrus Forecast Sees Slight Decreases
April 2018: Florida Citrus Forecast: Oranges Hold Steady, Grapefruit Tumbles
March 2018: Florida Specialty Citrus Up; California Valencias Down
February 2018: Florida Orange Crop Forecast Falls Again
January 2018: January Citrus Crop Forecast Is Stable
December 2017: Citrus Crop Forecast: Oranges Down, Grapefruit Holds Steady
November 2017: Citrus Crop Forecast: Numbers Decline for Florida in All Categories
October 2017: Citrus Crop Forecast: Florida All Oranges at 54 Million Boxes
July 2017: Final U.S. Citrus Crop Forecast Down 17 Percent from Last Season
June 2017: June Citrus Forecast: Oranges Up; Tangerines Down
May 2017: Citrus Crop Forecast Has Small Changes
April 2017: Crop Forecast Sees Changes for Grapefruit, Tangerines and Mandarins
March 2017: Orange Forecast Drops for Florida and California
February 2017: Non-Valencia Oranges Cut to 35.0 Million Boxes
January 2017: Small Changes in USDA Citrus Crop Forecast
December 2016: USDA Citrus Crop Forecast Has Little Changes
November 2016: Increase in Florida Non-Valencia Oranges
October 2016: First Florida Citrus Crop Forecast of the Season Shows Declines
July 2016: Citrus Forecast Has Valencia Oranges Up Slightly
June 2016: Citrus Crop Forecast Has Slight Increases
March 2016: Citrus Crop Forecast Increases
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